Arbeitspapier

The "burden" of Swiss public debt: Lessons from research and options for the future

The Swiss Federal government finances are in an excellent shape: debt is small (and decreasing), and carries a low interest rate. This paper reviews the prospects for the Swiss finances drawing on the recent literature. We argue that the current policy of running surpluses and paying down the debt is inefficient, and propose three alternatives. First, as the interest rate on the debt is much lower than the GDP growth rate - a pattern that is not unusual - Switzerland could stabilize the debt to GDP ratio and run a primary deficit of abut CHF 2.6 billion (0.37% of GDP). Second, the low cost of debt implies that investments in education and infrastructure are more attractive than in the past. Third, Switzerland could use its implicit asset (the trust of investors) and set up a sovereign wealth fund financed by government debt. We estimate that a fund amounting to 10% of GDP could generate an annual revenue between CHF 0.7 to 2 billion (0.1% to 0.3% of GDP), though these estimates could be refined further.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies Working Paper ; No. HEIDWP14-2019

Classification
Wirtschaft
Fiscal Policy
Subject
public debt
low interest rates
sovereign wealth fund
Switzerland

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Tille, Cédric
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies
(where)
Geneva
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Tille, Cédric
  • Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies

Time of origin

  • 2019

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