Arbeitspapier

Leverage dynamics and the burden of debt

In addition to leverage, the debt service burden of households and firms is an important link between financial and real developments at the aggregate level. Using US data from 1985 to 2013, we find that the debt service burden has sizeable negative effects on expenditure. Its interplay with leverage also explains several data puzzles, such as the lack of above-trend output growth during credit booms and the depth and length of ensuing recessions, without appealing to large shocks or non-linearities. Using data up to 2005, our model predicts paths for credit and expenditure that closely match actual developments before and during the Great Recession.

ISBN
978-952-323-098-9
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 3/2016

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Financial Crises

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Juselius, Mikael
Drehmann, Mathias
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Finland
(wo)
Helsinki
(wann)
2016

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:46 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Juselius, Mikael
  • Drehmann, Mathias
  • Bank of Finland

Entstanden

  • 2016

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