Arbeitspapier

Numerical solution of dynamic equilibrium models under Poisson uncertainty

We propose a simple and powerful numerical algorithm to compute the transition process in continuous-time dynamic equilibrium models with rare events. In this paper we transform the dynamic system of stochastic differential equations into a system of functional differential equations of the retarded type. We apply the Waveform Relaxation algorithm, i.e., we provide a guess of the policy function and solve the resulting system of (deterministic) ordinary differential equations by standard techniques. For parametric restrictions, analytical solutions to the stochastic growth model and a novel solution to Lucas' endogenous growth model under Poisson uncertainty are used to compute the exact numerical error. We show how (potential) catastrophic events such as rare natural disasters substantially affect the economic decisions of households.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3431

Classification
Wirtschaft
Computational Techniques; Simulation Modeling
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
Subject
continuous-time DSGE
Poisson uncertainty
waveform relaxation
Dynamisches Gleichgewicht
Kontrolltheorie
Stochastischer Prozess
Algorithmus
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Posch, Olaf
Trimborn, Timo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Posch, Olaf
  • Trimborn, Timo
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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