Arbeitspapier

Firm size and monetary policy transmission: evidence from German business survey data

Using business survey data on German manufacturing firms, this paper provides tests for hypotheses formulated in capital market imperfection theories that predict distributional effects in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy. Effects of monetary policy shocks on the business conditions of firms of several size classes are analysed, with the finding of considerable asymmetry. As predicted by theory, small firms are affected more strongly than large firms. To test whether these effects are reinforced when the economy is in a business cycle downturn, the paper employs a new estimation strategy: impulse response analysis conditional on Markov-switching regimes. The findings are supportive of the theoretical hypotheses: in a business cycle downturn, the distributional effects of monetary policy transmission are indeed reinforced.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 21

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Subject
balance sheet channel
firm size
Markov switching
Monetary policy transmission

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ehrmann, Michael
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2000

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ehrmann, Michael
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2000

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