Arbeitspapier
Globalisation and the Decoupling of Inflation from Domestic Labour Costs
We provide novel systematic cross-country evidence that the link between domestic labour markets and CPI inflation has weakened considerably in advanced economies during recent decades. The central estimate is that the short-run pass-through from domestic labour cost changes to core CPI inflation decreased from 0.25 in the 1980s to just 0.02 in the 2010s, while the longrun pass-through fell from 0.36 to 0.03, with the estimates in the 2010s no longer significant. We show that the timing of the collapse in the pass-through coincides with a steep increase in import penetration from a group of major manufacturing EMEs around the turn of the millennium, which signals increased competition and market contestability.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 9281
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General
Trade: General
Economic Impacts of Globalization: General
Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General
- Thema
-
competition
globalisation
import penetration
inflation
labour market
pass-through
wage
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Kohlscheen, Emanuel
Moessner, Richhild
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
- (wo)
-
Munich
- (wann)
-
2021
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Kohlscheen, Emanuel
- Moessner, Richhild
- Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
Entstanden
- 2021