Arbeitspapier

Globalisation and the Decoupling of Inflation from Domestic Labour Costs

We provide novel systematic cross-country evidence that the link between domestic labour markets and CPI inflation has weakened considerably in advanced economies during recent decades. The central estimate is that the short-run pass-through from domestic labour cost changes to core CPI inflation decreased from 0.25 in the 1980s to just 0.02 in the 2010s, while the longrun pass-through fell from 0.36 to 0.03, with the estimates in the 2010s no longer significant. We show that the timing of the collapse in the pass-through coincides with a steep increase in import penetration from a group of major manufacturing EMEs around the turn of the millennium, which signals increased competition and market contestability.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 9281

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General
Trade: General
Economic Impacts of Globalization: General
Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General
Thema
competition
globalisation
import penetration
inflation
labour market
pass-through
wage

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Kohlscheen, Emanuel
Moessner, Richhild
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2021

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Kohlscheen, Emanuel
  • Moessner, Richhild
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2021

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