Arbeitspapier

Fiscal policy and fiscal fragility: Empirical evidence from the OECD

In this paper, we use local projections to investigate the impact of consolidation shocks on GDP growth, conditional on the fragility of government finances. Based on a database of fiscal plans in OECD countries, we show that spending shocks are less detrimental than tax-based consolidation. In times of fiscal fragility, our results indicate strongly that governments should consolidate through surprise policy changes rather than announcements of consolidation at a later horizon.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IWH Discussion Papers ; No. 13/2019

Classification
Wirtschaft
Fiscal Policy
National Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
Subject
fiscal multipliers
fiscal consolidation
local projections

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
El-Shagi, Makram
von Schweinitz, Gregor
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH)
(where)
Halle (Saale)
(when)
2019

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:gbv:3:2-107570
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • El-Shagi, Makram
  • von Schweinitz, Gregor
  • Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH)

Time of origin

  • 2019

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