Cyber deterrence is overrated : analysis of the deterrent potential of the new cyber doctrine and lessons for Germany's "active cyper defence"
Zusammenfassung: Proponents of active, offensive cyber operations argue that they could have a deterrent effect on potential cyber attackers. The latter would think twice about attacking if a digital counter-attack might be the consequence. The idea that offensive cyber capabilities should have a deterrent effect was one reason why the new US cyber doctrine was adopted in 2018. The same assumption is implicit in the debate about cyber counterattacks ("hack backs") in Germany. Yet these assessments are based on a superficial understanding of deterrence. Cyber deterrence by the threat of retaliation works differently than that of nuclear deterrence. Problems of attribution, displays of power, controllability and the credibility of digital capabilities increase the risk of deterrence failure. Thus, the German cyber security policy would be well advised to increase its "deterrence by denial", cyber security and the resilience of its systems
- Alternative title
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Überschätzte Cyber-Abschreckung
- Location
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Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
- Extent
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1 Online-Ressource (8 Seiten)
- Language
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Englisch
- Notes
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Gesehen am 04.08.2020
"English version of SWP-Aktuell 39/2019"
- Bibliographic citation
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SWP comment ; no. 34 (August 2019)
SWP comment ; no. 34 (August 2019)
- Classification
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Politik
- Keyword
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Sicherheitspolitik
Cyberspace
Vergleich
Kritische Infrastruktur
Kriegsziel
Schutzvorrichtung
Gegenmaßnahme
Operation
Abwehr
Angriff
Internet
Deutschland
USA
- Event
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Veröffentlichung
- (where)
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Berlin
- (who)
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SWP
- (when)
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[August 2019]
- Creator
- Contributor
- DOI
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10.18449/2019C34
- URN
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urn:nbn:de:101:1-2023112321293677009462
- Rights
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Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
- Last update
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25.03.2025, 1:45 PM CET
Data provider
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Associated
Time of origin
- [August 2019]
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