Comment | Stellungnahme
Cyber deterrence is overrated: analysis of the deterrent potential of the new cyber doctrine and lessons for Germany's "active cyper defence"
Proponents of active, offensive cyber operations argue that they could have a deterrent effect on potential cyber attackers. The latter would think twice about attacking if a digital counter-attack might be the consequence. The idea that offensive cyber capabilities should have a deterrent effect was one reason why the new US cyber doctrine was adopted in 2018. The same assumption is implicit in the debate about cyber counterattacks ("hack backs") in Germany. Yet these assessments are based on a superficial understanding of deterrence. Cyber deterrence by the threat of retaliation works differently than that of nuclear deterrence. Problems of attribution, displays of power, controllability and the credibility of digital capabilities increase the risk of deterrence failure. Thus, the German cyber security policy would be well advised to increase its "deterrence by denial", cyber security and the resilience of its systems. (Autorenreferat)
- ISSN
-
1861-1761
- Extent
-
Seite(n): 8
- Language
-
Englisch
- Notes
-
Status: Veröffentlichungsversion; begutachtet
- Bibliographic citation
-
SWP Comment (34/2019)
- Subject
-
Politikwissenschaft
Friedens- und Konfliktforschung, Sicherheitspolitik
Bundesrepublik Deutschland
Verteidigungspolitik
Sicherheitspolitik
USA
virtuelle Realität
Infrastruktur
Maßnahme
Vergleich
Internet
- Event
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
-
Schulze, Matthias
- Event
-
Veröffentlichung
- (who)
-
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
- (where)
-
Deutschland, Berlin
- (when)
-
2019
- DOI
- URN
-
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-64094-5
- Rights
-
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln
- Last update
-
21.06.2024, 4:26 PM CEST
Data provider
This object is provided by:
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Object type
- Stellungnahme
Associated
- Schulze, Matthias
- Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Time of origin
- 2019
Other Objects (12)
The EU as a force for peace in international cyber diplomacy
Verschlüsselung in Gefahr: weltweit schwächen Staaten die Cyber-Sicherheit - Deutschland sollte dagegenhalten
Deterrence and disarmament
Encryption under threat: as states across the globe weaken cyber-security - Germany should oppose the trend
A hybrid security policy for Europe: resilience, deterrence, and defense as leitmotifs
Maritime nuclear deterrence: submarine-launched ballistic missiles in the South China Sea
NATO needs deterrence and dialogue: defining the new balance in view of the Warsaw summit
Germany and NATO missile defence: between adaptation and persistence
The Framework Nations Concept: Germany's contribution to a capable European defence
Turkey's nuclear onset: military policy, techno-nationalism trends and defence industrial capabilities
EU defence policy needs strategy: time for political examination of the CSDP's reform objectives
The new 'Europe of security': elements for a European white paper on security and defence
The EU as a force for peace in international cyber diplomacy
Verschlüsselung in Gefahr: weltweit schwächen Staaten die Cyber-Sicherheit - Deutschland sollte dagegenhalten
Deterrence and disarmament
Encryption under threat: as states across the globe weaken cyber-security - Germany should oppose the trend
A hybrid security policy for Europe: resilience, deterrence, and defense as leitmotifs
Maritime nuclear deterrence: submarine-launched ballistic missiles in the South China Sea
NATO needs deterrence and dialogue: defining the new balance in view of the Warsaw summit
Germany and NATO missile defence: between adaptation and persistence
The Framework Nations Concept: Germany's contribution to a capable European defence
Turkey's nuclear onset: military policy, techno-nationalism trends and defence industrial capabilities
EU defence policy needs strategy: time for political examination of the CSDP's reform objectives
The new 'Europe of security': elements for a European white paper on security and defence
The EU as a force for peace in international cyber diplomacy
Verschlüsselung in Gefahr: weltweit schwächen Staaten die Cyber-Sicherheit - Deutschland sollte dagegenhalten
Deterrence and disarmament
Encryption under threat: as states across the globe weaken cyber-security - Germany should oppose the trend
A hybrid security policy for Europe: resilience, deterrence, and defense as leitmotifs
Maritime nuclear deterrence: submarine-launched ballistic missiles in the South China Sea
NATO needs deterrence and dialogue: defining the new balance in view of the Warsaw summit
Germany and NATO missile defence: between adaptation and persistence
The Framework Nations Concept: Germany's contribution to a capable European defence
Turkey's nuclear onset: military policy, techno-nationalism trends and defence industrial capabilities
EU defence policy needs strategy: time for political examination of the CSDP's reform objectives