Comment | Stellungnahme
Cyber deterrence is overrated: analysis of the deterrent potential of the new cyber doctrine and lessons for Germany's "active cyper defence"
Proponents of active, offensive cyber operations argue that they could have a deterrent effect on potential cyber attackers. The latter would think twice about attacking if a digital counter-attack might be the consequence. The idea that offensive cyber capabilities should have a deterrent effect was one reason why the new US cyber doctrine was adopted in 2018. The same assumption is implicit in the debate about cyber counterattacks ("hack backs") in Germany. Yet these assessments are based on a superficial understanding of deterrence. Cyber deterrence by the threat of retaliation works differently than that of nuclear deterrence. Problems of attribution, displays of power, controllability and the credibility of digital capabilities increase the risk of deterrence failure. Thus, the German cyber security policy would be well advised to increase its "deterrence by denial", cyber security and the resilience of its systems. (Autorenreferat)
- ISSN
-
1861-1761
- Umfang
-
Seite(n): 8
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Anmerkungen
-
Status: Veröffentlichungsversion; begutachtet
- Erschienen in
-
SWP Comment (34/2019)
- Thema
-
Politikwissenschaft
Friedens- und Konfliktforschung, Sicherheitspolitik
Bundesrepublik Deutschland
Verteidigungspolitik
Sicherheitspolitik
USA
virtuelle Realität
Infrastruktur
Maßnahme
Vergleich
Internet
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Schulze, Matthias
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
- (wo)
-
Deutschland, Berlin
- (wann)
-
2019
- DOI
- URN
-
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-64094-5
- Rechteinformation
-
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
21.06.2024, 16:26 MESZ
Datenpartner
Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Stellungnahme
Beteiligte
- Schulze, Matthias
- Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Entstanden
- 2019
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