Arbeitspapier

Inflation targeting, the natural rate and expectations

In the new Keynesian model of endogenous stabilization governments have objectives with respect to macroeconomic performance, but are constrained by an augmented Phillips curve. Because they react quickly to inflation shocks, governments can lean against the macroeconomic wind. We develop an econometric test of this characterization of the political-economic equilibrium using the Kalman filter. Applying this methodology to a variety of quadratic social welfare functions, we find that an inflation target functional form is consistent with US history. We also find it more likely that expectations of inflation are adaptive, rather than rational.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2008-03

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
Thema
endogenous stabilization
policy objectives
adaptive expectations

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Kiefer, David
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
The University of Utah, Department of Economics
(wo)
Salt Lake City, UT
(wann)
2008

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Kiefer, David
  • The University of Utah, Department of Economics

Entstanden

  • 2008

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