Arbeitspapier

Price-level targeting and inflation expectations: Experimental evidence

In this paper, we use an economics decision-making experiment to test a key assumption underpinning the efficacy of price-level targeting relative to inflation targeting for business cycle stabilization and mitigating the effects of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates. In particular, we attempt to infer whether experimental participants understand the stationary nature of the price level under price-level targeting by observing their inflation forecasting behaviour in a laboratory setting. This is an important assumption since, without it, price-level targeting can lead to worse outcomes than inflation targeting. Our main result suggests that participants formulate inflation expectations consistent with the target-reverting nature of the price level but that they do not fully utilize it in their forecasts of future inflation.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Working Paper ; No. 2011-18

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Monetary Policy
Subject
Monetary policy framework

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Amano, Rober
Engle-Warnick, Jim
Shukayev, Malik
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2011

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2011-18
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Amano, Rober
  • Engle-Warnick, Jim
  • Shukayev, Malik
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2011

Other Objects (12)