Arbeitspapier

Crowded trades, market clustering, and price instability

Crowded trades by similarly trading peers influence the dynamics of asset prices, possibly creating systemic risk. We propose a market clustering measure using granular trading data. For each stock the clustering measure captures the degree of trading overlap among any two investors in that stock. We investigate the effect of crowded trades on stock price stability and show that market clustering has a causal effect on the properties of the tails of the stock return distribution, particularly the positive tail, even after controlling for commonly considered risk drivers. Reduced investor pool diversity could thus negatively affect stock price stability.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. TI 2020-007/II

Classification
Wirtschaft
Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
Financial Institutions and Services: General
Subject
crowded trading
tail-risk
financial stability

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
van Kralingen, Marc
Garlaschelli, Diego
Scholtus, Karolina
van Lelyveld, Iman
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Tinbergen Institute
(where)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • van Kralingen, Marc
  • Garlaschelli, Diego
  • Scholtus, Karolina
  • van Lelyveld, Iman
  • Tinbergen Institute

Time of origin

  • 2020

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