Arbeitspapier

Dynamic Globalization and its Potentially Alarming Prospects for Low-Wage Workers

Will incomes of low and high skilled workers continue to diverge? Yes says our paper's dynamic, six-good, five-region - U.S., Europe, N.E. Asia (Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong), China, and India -, general equilibrium, life-cycle model. The model predicts a near doubling of the ratio of high- to low-skilled wages over the century. Increasing wage inequality arises from a traditional source - a rising worldwide relative supply of unskilled labor, reflecting Chinese and Indian productivity improvements. But China's and India's education policies matter. If successive Chinese and Indian cohorts become more skilled, major exacerbation of inequality will be precluded.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: FIW Working Paper ; No. 22

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Demographic transition
overlapping generations (OLG)
computable general equilibrium models (CGE)

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Fehr, Hans
Jokisch, Sabine
Kotlikoff, Laurence J.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
FIW - Research Centre International Economics
(where)
Vienna
(when)
2009

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Fehr, Hans
  • Jokisch, Sabine
  • Kotlikoff, Laurence J.
  • FIW - Research Centre International Economics

Time of origin

  • 2009

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