Arbeitspapier

The pass-through of temporary VAT rate cuts: Evidence from German retail prices

On 1 July 2020, value added tax (VAT) rates were reduced in Germany to fight the economic consequences of the Corona pandemic. The VAT rate reduction is temporary as rates will return to their previous level on 1 January 2021. We study the effects of the temporary VAT rate cut on German supermarket retail prices using an extensive webscrapped data set covering the daily prices of roughly 190,000 products. To identify the causal price effects, we compare the development of prices in Germany to those in Austria. Our findings indicate a nearly full pass-through of the VAT rate reduction on prices. On average, prices in German supermarket retail decreased by 2% after the implementation of the VAT rate reduction. We also provide evidence that prices in more competitive product markets decreased to a larger extent.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ifo Working Paper ; No. 341

Classification
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Taxation and Subsidies: Incidence
Business Taxes and Subsidies including sales and value-added (VAT)
Subject
value added tax
tax incidence
price effects
competition

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Fuest, Clemens
Neumeier, Florian
Stöhlker, Daniel
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
(where)
Munich
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
14.03.0004, 11:47 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Fuest, Clemens
  • Neumeier, Florian
  • Stöhlker, Daniel
  • ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich

Time of origin

  • 2020

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