Arbeitspapier

Macroeconomic Determinants of Retirement Timing

We analyze lifetime earnings histories of white males during 1960-2010 and categorize the labor force status of every worker as either working full-time, partially retired or fully retired. We find that the fraction of partially retired workers has risen dramatically (from virtually 0 to 15 percent for 60-62 year olds), and that the duration of partial retirement spells has been steadily increasing. We estimate the response of retirement timing to variations in unemployment rate, inflation and housing prices. Flows into both full and partial retirement increase significantly when the unemployment rate rises. Workers around normal retirement age are especially sensitive to variations in the unemployment rate. Workers who are partially retired show a differential response to a high unemployment rate: younger workers increase their partial retirement spell, while older workers accelerate their transition to full retirement. We also find that high inflation discourages full-time work and encourages partial and full retirement. Housing prices do not have a significant impact on retirement timing.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 7744

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Social Security and Public Pensions
Retirement; Retirement Policies
Thema
retirement
business cycles
Altersgrenze
Flexible Altersgrenze
Lebenseinkommen
Arbeitslosigkeit
Inflation
Immobilienpreis
USA

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
Song, Jae
Stolyarov, Dmitriy
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2013

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
  • Song, Jae
  • Stolyarov, Dmitriy
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2013

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