Arbeitspapier

Unions, wage setting and monetary policy uncertainty

Recent theoretical research has studied extensively the link between wage setting and monetary policymaking in unionized economies. This paper addresses the question of the role of monetary uncertainty from both an empirical and theoretical point of view. Our analysis is based on a simple model that derives the influence of monetary uncertainty on unionized wage setting. We construct an indicator of monetary policy uncertainty and test our model with data for the G5 countries. The central finding is that monetary policy uncertainty has a negative impact on nominal wage growth in countries where wage setting is relatively centralized. This result is consistent with recent theoretical approaches to central bank transparency and wage setting.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 490

Classification
Wirtschaft
Central Banks and Their Policies
Subject
centralized wage setting
Monetary policy uncertainty
union behavior
Gewerkschaft
Verhandlungstheorie des Lohnes
Lohnbildung
Geldpolitik
Geldpolitisches Ziel
Schätzung
USA
Frankreich
Japan
Großbritannien
Deutschland

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Grüner, Hans Peter
Hayo, Bernd
Hefeker, Carsten
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2005

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Grüner, Hans Peter
  • Hayo, Bernd
  • Hefeker, Carsten
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2005

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