Artikel

Volatility term structures in commodity markets

In this study, we comprehensively examine the volatility term structures in commodity markets. We model state-dependent spillovers in principal components (PCs) of the volatility term structures of different commodities, as well as that of the equity market. We detect strong economic links and a substantial interconnectedness of the volatility term structures of commodities. Accounting for intra-commodity-market spillovers significantly improves out-of-sample forecasts of the components of the volatility term structure. Spillovers following macroeconomic news announcements account for a large proportion of this forecast power. There thus seems to be substantial information transmission between different commodity markets.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Journal of Futures Markets ; ISSN: 1096-9934 ; Volume: 40 ; Year: 2019 ; Issue: 4 ; Pages: 527-555 ; Hoboken, NJ: Wiley

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
commodities
information transmission
spillovers
volatility term structure

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hollstein, Fabian
Prokopczuk, Marcel
Würsig, Christoph
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Wiley
(where)
Hoboken, NJ
(when)
2019

DOI
doi:10.1002/fut.22083
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Hollstein, Fabian
  • Prokopczuk, Marcel
  • Würsig, Christoph
  • Wiley

Time of origin

  • 2019

Other Objects (12)