Artikel

Volatility term structures in commodity markets

In this study, we comprehensively examine the volatility term structures in commodity markets. We model state-dependent spillovers in principal components (PCs) of the volatility term structures of different commodities, as well as that of the equity market. We detect strong economic links and a substantial interconnectedness of the volatility term structures of commodities. Accounting for intra-commodity-market spillovers significantly improves out-of-sample forecasts of the components of the volatility term structure. Spillovers following macroeconomic news announcements account for a large proportion of this forecast power. There thus seems to be substantial information transmission between different commodity markets.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Journal of Futures Markets ; ISSN: 1096-9934 ; Volume: 40 ; Year: 2019 ; Issue: 4 ; Pages: 527-555 ; Hoboken, NJ: Wiley

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
commodities
information transmission
spillovers
volatility term structure

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Hollstein, Fabian
Prokopczuk, Marcel
Würsig, Christoph
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Wiley
(wo)
Hoboken, NJ
(wann)
2019

DOI
doi:10.1002/fut.22083
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
16.11.2025, 02:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Hollstein, Fabian
  • Prokopczuk, Marcel
  • Würsig, Christoph
  • Wiley

Entstanden

  • 2019

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