Arbeitspapier

Economic uncertainty and structural reforms

Does economic uncertainty promote the implementation of structural reforms? We answer this question using one of the most exhaustive cross-country panel data set on reforms in six major areas and measuring economic uncertainty with stock market volatility. To address endogeneity concerns, we propose various identification strategies, instrumenting uncertainty with world shocks to volatility and with natural disasters, political coups and revolutions. Across all specifications, we find that uncertainty has a positive and significant effect on the adoption of reforms. This result is robust to the inclusion of a large number of controls, such as political variables, economic variables, crisis indicators, and a host of country, reform and time fixed effects.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 877

Classification
Wirtschaft
Institutions and the Macroeconomy
Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General
Economics of Regulation
Subject
Reforms
Uncertainty

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bonfiglioli, Alessandra
Gancia, Gino Alessandro
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance
(where)
London
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bonfiglioli, Alessandra
  • Gancia, Gino Alessandro
  • Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance

Time of origin

  • 2018

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