Arbeitspapier

Quantifying the impact of structural reforms

We estimate a dynamic, intertemporal optimisation model that mimics features of European labour markets, such as sticky nominal wages and sluggish adjustment of employment to shocks for 15 OECD countries. The estimates include a measure for the degree of labour market sluggishness that compares well with standard indicators of product and labour market regulation. Calibration of the model on a selected country sample confirms its explanatory power in comparison with the standard competitive markets model. In a second step, the measure for labour market sluggishness is used as a policy variable and model variants are simulated in order to assess the extent to which the countries would have performed better with more flexible labour markets. These policy experiments show that an increase in labour market flexibility reduces the volatility of consumption relative to production, improves intertemporal efficiency but entails higher employment risk.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 666

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
Subject
business cycles
labour market reforms in OECD countries
nominal and real rigidities
non-clearing labour markets
Strukturwandel
Messung
Arbeitsmarkt
OECD-Staaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ernst, Ekkehard
Gong, Gang
Semmler, Willi
Bukeviciute, Lina
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ernst, Ekkehard
  • Gong, Gang
  • Semmler, Willi
  • Bukeviciute, Lina
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2006

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