Arbeitspapier

The interaction of actual and fundamental house prices: A general model with an application to Denmark and Sweden

The paper presents a general method for estimating a country's level of fundamental house prices and its interaction with actual house prices. We set up a unified empirical model which can be used to analyze the time-series behavior of the fundamental house price and to test various hypotheses regarding its relation to the actual house price. To illustrate how the method works, we apply it to data for Denmark and Sweden. We find a tendency for actual house prices to converge on fundamental prices, albeit rather slowly.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: EPRU Working Paper Series ; No. 2016-04

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Housing Supply and Markets
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
Thema
fundamental house prices
house price dynamics
housing bubbles

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Birch Sørensen, Peter
Bergman, U. Michael
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
University of Copenhagen, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU)
(wo)
Copenhagen
(wann)
2016

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
12.07.2024, 13:21 MESZ

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Birch Sørensen, Peter
  • Bergman, U. Michael
  • University of Copenhagen, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU)

Entstanden

  • 2016

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