Arbeitspapier

Unemployment in the OECD : Models and Mysteries

This paper compares models used to explain OECD unemployment. The models suggest that the ?natural rate of unemployment? has been driven up mainly by wage push factors. Panel data on twenty-two OECD countries are used to investigate the explanatory power of these models over the past two decades. Our estimates reveal that coefficients on key variables often turn out with signs which are at odds with the theories or are insignificant and that a second order autoregressive model performs nearly as well as all the other models. The conclusion offers some directions for future research.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 1168

Classification
Wirtschaft
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
Subject
unemployment
natural rate
supply shocks
hysteresis
Theorie der Arbeitslosigkeit
Theorie
Arbeitslosigkeit
OECD-Staaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Junankar, P. N. (Raja)
Madsen, Jakob B.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2004

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Junankar, P. N. (Raja)
  • Madsen, Jakob B.
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2004

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