Arbeitspapier

Equilibrium unemployment dynamics in a panel of OECD countries

We focus on the equilibrium unemployment rate as a parameter implied by a dynamic aggregate model of wage- and price setting. The equilibrium unemployment rate depends on institutional labour market institutions through mark-up coefficients. Compared to existing studies, the resulting final equation for unemployment has richer dynamic structure. The empirical investigation is conducted in a panel data framework and uses OECD data up to 2012. We propose to extend the standard estimation method with time dummies to control and capture the effects of common and national shocks by using impulse indicator saturation (WG-IIS) which is not previously used on panel data. WG-IIS robustifies the estimator of the regression coefficients in the dynamic model, and it affects the estimated equilibrium unemployment rates. We find that wage coordination stands out as the most important institutional variable in our data set, but there is also evidence pointing to the tax wedge and the degree of compensation in the unemployment insurance system as drivers of equillibrium unemployment.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Memorandum ; No. 22/2013

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Single Equation Models: Single Variables: Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
Model Construction and Estimation
Institutions and the Macroeconomy
General Aggregative Models: Marxian; Sraffian; Kaleckian
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Subject
OECD area unemployment
dynamics, structural breaks
equilibrium unemployment
wage setting
NAIRU
labour market institutions
automatic variable selection

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Nymoen, Ragnar
Sparrman, Victoria
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Oslo, Department of Economics
(where)
Oslo
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Nymoen, Ragnar
  • Sparrman, Victoria
  • University of Oslo, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2013

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