Arbeitspapier

Why Has the Euro Been Falling?

This paper reconsiders the determinants of the exchange rate by studying the historical episode after the fall of the Iron Curtain. Testing a modified portfolio balance model, we attribute the strength of the deutschmark in the early nineties and the puzzling decline of the euro during its virtual existence to changes in the demand for deutschmarks in eastern Europe and to variations in the demand for black money balances in Europe as a whole. We reject the view that the strength of the dollar and the weakness of the euro reflect the prosperity of the US and the weakness of the European economy on both theoretical and empirical grounds.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 493

Classification
Wirtschaft

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Sinn, Hans-Werner
Westermann, Frank
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2001

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Sinn, Hans-Werner
  • Westermann, Frank
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2001

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