Arbeitspapier

Persistence of civil wars

A notable feature of post-World War II civil wars is their very long average duration. We provide a theory of the persistence of civil wars. The civilian government can successfully defeat rebellious factions only by creating a relatively strong army. In weakly-institutionalized polities this opens the way for excessive influence or coups by the military. Civilian governments whose rents are largely unaffected by civil wars then choose small and weak armies that are incapable of ending insurrections. Our framework also shows that when civilian governments need to take more decisive action against rebels, they may be forced to build over-sized armies, beyond the size necessary for fighting the insurrection, as a commitment to not reforming the military in the future.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 4418

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations: General, International, or Comparative
Economic History: Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation: General, International, or Comparative
Capitalist Systems: Political Economy
Thema
Civil wars
commitment
coups
military
political transitions
political economy
Bürgerkrieg
Dauer
Innere Sicherheit
Verteidigungshaushalt
Politisches Ziel
Welt

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Acemoglu, Daron
Ticchi, Davide
Vindigni, Andrea
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2009

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-200910122597
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Acemoglu, Daron
  • Ticchi, Davide
  • Vindigni, Andrea
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2009

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