Arbeitspapier
Violence against civilians in civil wars: Looting or terror?
A simple two-stage game-theoretic model of conflict is analysed, where the government can send raiders for terrorising the population to flee before the fighting proper begins. The resulting displacement of population reduces the efficiency of the guerrilla in the fight against the government. Conditions are spelled out for a sub-game perfect equilibrium to exist where terror substitutes for fighting, when the government can afford it. The model’s predictions are tested using data on refugees in Africa, showing that, after controlling for war, ODA has a positive impact on the outflow of refugees, as predicted.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: WIDER Discussion Paper ; No. 2001/46
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions
Noncooperative Games
Economywide Country Studies: Africa
- Thema
-
civil war
Africa
game theory
refugees
Bürgerkrieg
Gewalt
Flüchtlinge
Spieltheorie
Theorie
Afrika
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Azam, Jean-Paul
Hoeffler, Anke
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
- (wo)
-
Helsinki
- (wann)
-
2001
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ
Datenpartner
Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Azam, Jean-Paul
- Hoeffler, Anke
- The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
Entstanden
- 2001
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