Arbeitspapier

Assessing vulnerabilities in emerging-market economies

This paper introduces a new tool to monitor economic and financial vulnerabilities in emerging-market economies. We obtain vulnerability indexes for several early warning indicators covering 26 emerging markets from 1990 to 2017 and use them to monitor the evolution of vulnerabilities before, during and after an economic or financial crisis. We find that different historical episodes of crises reflect different vulnerabilities in terms of their composition, buildup and responses. Nevertheless, most currency crises are generally preceded by a buildup of imbalances in the external sector followed by an increase in sovereign debt imbalances. Finally, we assess current EME vulnerabilities in our country sample and visualize them using a heat map.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Staff Discussion Paper ; No. 2018-13

Classification
Wirtschaft
Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
International Lending and Debt Problems
Financial Crises
International Financial Markets
Subject
International topics
Monetary and financial indicators
Recent economic and financial developments

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Dalhaus, Tatjana
Lam, Alexander
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2018

DOI
doi:10.34989/sdp-2018-13
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Dalhaus, Tatjana
  • Lam, Alexander
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2018

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