Journal article | Zeitschriftenartikel

Modelling the General Public's Inflation Expectations Using the Michigan Survey Data

In this paper we discuss a few models developed to explain the general public's inflation expectations formation and provide some relevant estimation results. Furthermore, we suggest a simple Bayesian learning model which could explain the expectations formation process on the individual level. When the model is aggregated to the population level it could explain not only the mean values, but also the variance of the public’s inflation expectations. The estimation results of the mean and variance equations seem to be consistent with the results of the questionnaire studies in which the respondents were asked to report their thoughts and opinions about inflation.

Modelling the General Public's Inflation Expectations Using the Michigan Survey Data

Urheber*in: Luoma, Arto; Luoto, Jani

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Extent
Seite(n): 1311-1320
Language
Englisch
Notes
Status: Postprint; begutachtet (peer reviewed)

Bibliographic citation
Applied Economics, 41(10)

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Luoma, Arto
Luoto, Jani
Event
Veröffentlichung
(when)
2009

DOI
URN
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-240491
Rights
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln
Last update
21.06.2024, 4:26 PM CEST

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Object type

  • Zeitschriftenartikel

Associated

  • Luoma, Arto
  • Luoto, Jani

Time of origin

  • 2009

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