Arbeitspapier

Welfare gains of bailouts in a sovereign default model

We examine the welfare effects of bailouts in economies exposed to sovereign default risk. When a government of a small open economy requests a bailout from an international financial institution, it receives a non-defaultable loan of size G that comes with imposed debt limits. The government endogenously asks for the bailout during recessions and repays it when the economy recovers. Hence, the bailout acts as an imperfect state contingent asset that makes the economy better off. The bailout duration is endogenous and increases with its size. The bailout size creates non-trivial tradeoffs between receiving a larger amount of relatively cheap resources precisely in times of need on the one hand, and facing longer-lasting financial constraints and accumulated interest payments, on the other hand. We characterize and quantify these tradeoffs and document that welfare gains of bailouts are hump-shaped in the size of bailout loans.

ISBN
978-952-323-307-2
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 25/2019

Classification
Wirtschaft
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
International Lending and Debt Problems

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Pancrazi, Roberto
Seoane, Hernán D.
Vukotic, Marija
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Pancrazi, Roberto
  • Seoane, Hernán D.
  • Vukotic, Marija
  • Bank of Finland

Time of origin

  • 2019

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