Arbeitspapier

Repo market functioning when the interest rate is low or negative

This paper investigates how a low or negative overnight interest rate might affect the Canadian repo markets. The main conclusion is that the repo market for general collateral will continue to function effectively. However, changes to market conventions - such as the introduction of a charge for settlement fails - or other institutional changes may be required so that the repo market for specific collateral continues to support liquidity on the secondary market for government bonds. The historical experience shows that the special repo market in other jurisdictions can function effectively even if the overnight rate is negative. Closer examination suggests what specific circumstances can lead to persistent settlement fails in the specific collateral repo market. Specifically, the combination of (i) low or negative interest rates, (ii) large aggregate short positions in bonds, and (iii) economic or policy surprises may lead to persistent settlement fails.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Staff Discussion Paper ; No. 2017-3

Classification
Wirtschaft
General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Subject
Financial markets
interest rates
market structure and pricing

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Fontaine, Jean-Sébastien
Hately, James
Walton, Adrian
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2017

DOI
doi:10.34989/sdp-2017-3
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Fontaine, Jean-Sébastien
  • Hately, James
  • Walton, Adrian
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2017

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