Arbeitspapier

Cyclical fluctuations in the Mediterranean basin

We investigate the similarities of macroeconomic fluctuations in the Mediterranean basin and their convergence. A model with three indicators, covering the West, the East and the MENA portions of the Mediterranean, characterizes well the historical experience since the early 1980. Convergence and divergence coexist in the region and are reversible. Except for the West, domestic cyclical fluctuations are still due to national and idiosyncratic causes. The outlook for the next few years looks rosier for the MENA and the East blocks than for the West.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 1367

Classification
Wirtschaft
Bayesian Analysis: General
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Subject
Bayesian methods
business cycles
developing and developed countries
Mediterranean basin

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Canova, Fabio
Ciccarelli, Matteo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Canova, Fabio
  • Ciccarelli, Matteo
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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