Arbeitspapier

Persistence in Tax Revenues: Evidence from Some OECD Countries

This paper examines persistence in tax revenues in a set of 21 OECD countries over the period 1965-2021 using long-range dependence techniques based on fractional integration. The results imply that there are only a few cases of mean reversion: one for total revenue (Switzerland); three for VAT (Belgium, Italy, and Spain), and six for tax on income (Austria, Belgium, Finland, Spain, Sweden and USA). The analysis is also carried out for inflation in the same set of countries. Again the I(1) hypothesis cannot be rejected in most cases, mean reversion only occurring in Korea, Iceland, Norway and Sweden. However, stronger evidence of mean reversion is found for the differences between the three original tax series and inflation compared to the tax series themselves, which points to the existence of a linkage between taxation and inflation, especially in the case of VAT and tax on income.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 10682

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Estimation: General
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Thema
revenues
taxes
persistence
fractional integration
long memory

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
Tapia, Silvia García
Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2023

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
  • Tapia, Silvia García
  • Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2023

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