Arbeitspapier

Robust multiplicity with a grain of naiveté

In an important paper, Weinstein and Yildiz (2007) show that if players have an infinite depth of reasoning and this is commonly believed, types generically have a unique rationalizable action in games that satisfy a richness condition. We show that this result does not extend to environments where players may have a finite depth of reasoning, or think it is possible that the other player has a finite depth of reasoning, or think that the other player may think that is possible, and so on, even if this so-called grain of naiveté is arbitrarily small. More precisely, we show that even if there is almost common belief in the event that players have an infinite depth of reasoning, there are types with multiple rationalizable actions, and the same is true for nearby types. Our results demonstrate that both uniqueness and multiplicity are robust phenomena when we relax the assumption that it is common belief that players have an infinite depth, if only slightly.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Discussion Paper ; No. 1573

Classification
Wirtschaft
Game Theory and Bargaining Theory: General
Noncooperative Games
Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty: General
Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
Subject
Bounded rationality
finite depth of reasoning
global games
higher-order beliefs
generic uniqueness
robust multiplicity

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Heifetz, Aviad
Kets, Willemien
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Northwestern University, Kellogg School of Management, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science
(where)
Evanston, IL
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Heifetz, Aviad
  • Kets, Willemien
  • Northwestern University, Kellogg School of Management, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science

Time of origin

  • 2013

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