Arbeitspapier

Measuring Poverty Dynamics with Synthetic Panels Based on Repeated Cross-Sections

Panel data are rarely available for developing countries. Departing from traditional pseudo-panel methods that require multiple rounds of cross-sectional data to study poverty mobility at the cohort level, we develop a procedure that works with as few as two survey rounds and produces point estimates of transitions along the welfare distribution at the more disaggregated household level. Validation using Monte Carlo simulations and real cross-sectional and actual panel survey data— from several countries, spanning different income levels and geographical regions—perform well under various deviations from model assumptions. The method could also inform investigation of other welfare outcome dynamics.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 15827

Classification
Wirtschaft
Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods
Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions
Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
Subject
transitory and chronic poverty
income mobility
consumption
cross sections
synthetic panels
household surveys

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Dang, Hai-Anh
Lanjouw, Peter F.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Dang, Hai-Anh
  • Lanjouw, Peter F.
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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