Arbeitspapier

The optimal tariff in the presence of trade-induced productivity gains

We scrutinize the impact of international productivity gains (spillovers) induced by imports and exports on optimal tariffs. First, we solve a stylized 2x2 trade model of a large open economy and show that (a) productivity gains via exports and imports both reduce the strategically optimal tariff, (b) there exists a certain strength of productivity gains such that the incentive to manipulate the terms of trade strategically vanishes, (c) the welfare gain that can be achieved via a tariff is lower in the presence of productivity gains than in their absence, and (d) these results even hold without power on international markets. Second, we apply this model to a panel data set covering 40 countries, 29 sectors and the years 1995 to 2009. We find that importdriven productivity gains are stronger than export-driven productivity gains. Third, we extend our 2x2 model to a multi-region, multi-sector model that we calibrate to the data set used in the econometric analysis and to the econometrically estimated productivity gains. Optimal tariffs are reduced by 17% for the US and China and 40% for Brazil when taking trade-induced productivity gains into account. The USA are the only model region that gains from European optimal tariff policy. Thus, trade-induced productivity gains have empirically relevant effects on optimal tariffs.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ZEW Discussion Papers ; No. 13-103

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
Empirical Studies of Trade
Trade: Forecasting and Simulation
Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General
Thema
trade
optimal tariff
productivity gains
technology spillovers

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Hübler, Michael
Pothen, Frank
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)
(wo)
Mannheim
(wann)
2013

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-352776
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Hübler, Michael
  • Pothen, Frank
  • Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)

Entstanden

  • 2013

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