Artikel

Boundedly rational backward induction

This paper proposes simple axioms that characterize a generalization of backward induction. At any node of a decision tree, the decision maker looks forward a fixed number of stages perfectly. Beyond that, the decision maker aggregates continuation values according to a function that captures reasoning under unpredictability. The model is uniquely identified from the decision maker's preference over decision trees. Confronting a decision tree, the decision maker iteratively revises her plan for the future as she moves forward in the decision tree. A comparative measure of unpredictability aversion and several examples are discussed.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Theoretical Economics ; ISSN: 1555-7561 ; Volume: 14 ; Year: 2019 ; Issue: 1 ; Pages: 103-134 ; New Haven, CT: The Econometric Society

Classification
Wirtschaft
Microeconomics: General
Subject
Dynamic choice
imperfect foresight
time inconsistency

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ke, Shaowei
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The Econometric Society
(where)
New Haven, CT
(when)
2019

DOI
doi:10.3982/TE2402
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Ke, Shaowei
  • The Econometric Society

Time of origin

  • 2019

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