Arbeitspapier

Understanding the Origins of Populist Political Parties and the Role of External Shocks

We use electoral survey data to examine the impact that two large external shocks had on the development of New Zealand First (NZF), one of the oldest populist parties in the OECD. We find that structural reforms, which led to large negative impacts on particular locations, and immigration reforms, which led to large spatially concentrated increases in skilled migration, both increased voting for NZF in its first years of existence. These shocks led to changes in political attitudes and policy preferences and had persistent effects on voting for NZF even twenty years later. Overall, they play an important role in explaining the rise of populism in NZ. Understanding how these shocks led to the development of NZF is particularly relevant for thinking about how populism has been extending its reach in the 2010s.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 9036

Classification
Wirtschaft
Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Capitalist Systems: Political Economy
Publicly Provided Goods: General
Subject
populism
political parties
trade
immigration
shocks

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Levi, Eugenio
Sin, Isabelle
Stillman, Steven
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:46 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Levi, Eugenio
  • Sin, Isabelle
  • Stillman, Steven
  • Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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