Arbeitspapier

Learning by disinflating

Disinflationary episodes are a valuable source of information for economic agents trying to learn about the economy. In this paper we are particularly interested in how policymakers can themselves learn by disinflating. The approach differs from the existing literature, which typically focuses on the learning of private agents during a disinflation. We build a model where both the policymaker and private agents learn, and ask what happens if the policymaker has to disinflate to satisfy a new central bank mandate specifying greater emphasis on inflation stabilisation. In this case, our results show that inflation may fall dramatically before it gradually rises to its new long run level. The potential for inflation to undershoot its long run level during a disinflationary episode suggests that caution should be exercised when assessing the success of any change in the policymaker's mandate.

ISBN
978-952-462-795-5
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 10/2012

Classification
Wirtschaft
Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Subject
Disinflation
Escape Dynamics
Learning
Monetary Policy

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Barnett, Alina
Ellison, Martin
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Barnett, Alina
  • Ellison, Martin
  • Bank of Finland

Time of origin

  • 2012

Other Objects (12)