Artikel

An agenda-setting model of electoral competition

This paper presents a model of electoral competition focusing on the formation of the public agenda. An incumbent government and a challenger party in opposition compete in elections by choosing the issues that will key out their campaigns. Giving salience to an issue implies proposing an innovative policy proposal, alternative to the status-quo. Parties trade off the issues with high salience in voters' concerns and those with broad agreement on some alternative policy proposal. Each party expects a higher probability of victory if the issue it chooses becomes salient in the voters' decision. But remarkably, the issues which are considered the most important ones by a majority of voters may not be given salience during the electoral campaign. An incumbent government may survive in spite of its bad policy performance if there is no sufficiently broad agreement on a policy alternative.We illustrate the analytical potential of the model with the case of the United States presidential election in 2004.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: SERIEs - Journal of the Spanish Economic Association ; ISSN: 1869-4195 ; Volume: 3 ; Year: 2012 ; Issue: 1/2 ; Pages: 73-93 ; Heidelberg: Springer

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Thema
agenda
elections
political competition
issues
salience
Agreement
Politisches Ziel
Wahlkampf
Öffentliche Meinung
Präsidentschaftswahl
USA
Neue politische Ökonomie

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Colomer, Josep M.
Llavador, Humberto
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Springer
(wo)
Heidelberg
(wann)
2012

DOI
doi:10.1007/s13209-011-0056-5
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Colomer, Josep M.
  • Llavador, Humberto
  • Springer

Entstanden

  • 2012

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