An agenda-setting model of electoral competition

Artikel

This paper presents a model of electoral competition focusing on the formation of the public agenda. An incumbent government and a challenger party in opposition compete in elections by choosing the issues that will key out their campaigns. Giving salience to an issue implies proposing an innovative policy proposal, alternative to the status-quo. Parties trade off the issues with high salience in voters' concerns and those with broad agreement on some alternative policy proposal. Each party expects a higher probability of victory if the issue it chooses becomes salient in the voters' decision. But remarkably, the issues which are considered the most important ones by a majority of voters may not be given salience during the electoral campaign. An incumbent government may survive in spite of its bad policy performance if there is no sufficiently broad agreement on a policy alternative.We illustrate the analytical potential of the model with the case of the United States presidential election in 2004.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Journal: SERIEs - Journal of the Spanish Economic Association ; ISSN: 1869-4195 ; Volume: 3 ; Year: 2012 ; Issue: 1/2 ; Pages: 73-93 ; Heidelberg: Springer

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
• Subject: agenda ; elections ; political competition ; issues ; salience ; Agreement ; Politisches Ziel ; Wahlkampf ; Öffentliche Meinung ; Präsidentschaftswahl ; USA ; Neue politische Ökonomie

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Colomer, Josep M. ; Llavador, Humberto
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Springer
• (where): Heidelberg
• (when): 2012

Further information

• DOI: doi:10.1007/s13209-011-0056-5
• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/77779
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET