Arbeitspapier

Changes in job stability: evidence from lifetime job histories

We use lifetime job histories from the pension records to evaluate changes in job stability in Finland between 1963 and 2004. We specify a duration model and estimate the effects of elapsed duration, age, and calendar time on the hazard of job ending using individual-level panel data spanning over four decades. We find that this hazard increased during the recession years in the early 1990s but has now returned to the level that prevailed in the 1970s. We also demonstrate that the fluctuations in the hazard rate together with the changes in labor market entry rates have complicated dynamic effects on the tenure distribution, and that analysing the changes in job stability based on the elapsed duration of ongoing jobs may be quite misleading.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 4721

Classification
Wirtschaft
Labor Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
Subject
Job stability
duration model
Arbeitsplatzsicherung
Betriebszugehörigkeit
Erwerbsverlauf
Statistische Bestandsanalyse
Schätzung
Finnland

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Rokkanen, Miikka
Uusitalo, Roope
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Rokkanen, Miikka
  • Uusitalo, Roope
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2010

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