Arbeitspapier

Tax Evasion and Economic Crime. Empirical Evidence for Italy

This paper examines the impact of tax evasion on criminal activities in Italy. Precisely, we consider three types of crime particularly related to economic determinants: property crimes (including robberies, thefts and car thefts), frauds and usury. By using annual data for the Italian provinces (NUTS-3) over the period 2006 to 2010 to estimate a dynamic panel, we show that tax evasion substitutes both, frauds and usury, whereas crimes against the property are positively affected by tax evasion. Interestingly, the degree of substitution for fraud and usury is related to the size of tax burden. Moreover, the estimates indicate that these crimes show a different persistency over time, reflecting different adjustment costs. Finally, we find statistical significance and the expected sign for deterrence only for property crimes whereas frauds and usury are not influenced by any deterrence or clearing-up variable.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 5497

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Tax Law
Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
Subject
property crime
usury
frauds
tax evasion
deterrence effect

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Argentiero, Amedeo
Chiarini, Bruno
Marzano, Elisabetta
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2015

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Argentiero, Amedeo
  • Chiarini, Bruno
  • Marzano, Elisabetta
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2015

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