Arbeitspapier
Detecting multiple breaks in long memory: The case of US inflation
Multiple structural change tests by Bei and Perron (1998) are applied to the regression by Demetrescu, Kuzin and Hassler (2008) in order to detect breaks in the order of fractional integration. With this instrument we tackle time-varying inflation persistence as an important issue for monetary policy. We determine not only the location and significance of breaks in persistence, but also the number of breaks. Only one significant break in U.S. inflation persistence (measured by the long-memory parameter) is found to have taken place in 1973, while a second break in 1980 is not significant.
- ISBN
-
978-3-86558-761-9
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: Discussion Paper Series 1 ; No. 2011,26
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
- Thema
-
Fractional integration
break in persistence
unknown break point
inflation dynamics
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Hassler, Uwe
Meller, Barbara
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Deutsche Bundesbank
- (wo)
-
Frankfurt a. M.
- (wann)
-
2011
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
12.03.2025, 18:06 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Hassler, Uwe
- Meller, Barbara
- Deutsche Bundesbank
Entstanden
- 2011