Konferenzbeitrag

On the application of Machine Learning in telecommunications forecasting: A comparison

Over the past few decades, a large number of research papers has published focused on forecasting ICT products using various diffusion models like logistic, Gompertz, Bass, etc. Much less research work has been done towards the application of time series forecasting in ICT such as ARIMA model which seems to be an attractive alternative. More recently with the advancement in computational power, machine learning and artificial intelligence have become popular due to superior performance than classical models in many areas of concern. In this paper, broadband penetration is analysed separately for all OECD countries, trying to figure out which model is superior in most cases and phases in time. Although diffusion models are dedicated for this purpose, the ARIMA model has nevertheless shown an enormous influence as a good alternative in many previous works. In this study, a new approach using LSTM networks stands out to be a promising method for projecting high technology innovations diffusion.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: 31st European Conference of the International Telecommunications Society (ITS): "Reining in Digital Platforms? Challenging monopolies, promoting competition and developing regulatory regimes", Gothenburg, Sweden, 20th - 21st June 2022

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Diffusion models
ARIMA
LSTM
broadband penetration forecasting

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Petre, Konstantin
Varoutas, Dimitris
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
International Telecommunications Society (ITS)
(where)
Calgary
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

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Object type

  • Konferenzbeitrag

Associated

  • Petre, Konstantin
  • Varoutas, Dimitris
  • International Telecommunications Society (ITS)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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