Arbeitspapier

Reconsidering the Investment-Profit Nexus in Finance-Led Economies: an ARDL-Based Approach

A simple Post Keynesian growth model is developed, in which financial variables are explicitly taken into account. Different possible accumulation regimes are derived with respect to changes of these variables. Several variants of an investment function are estimated econometrically. The ARDL-based approach proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001) is argued to be superior for this purpose to the traditional cointegration approach. The econometric results are discussed with respect to a remarkable phenomenon that can be observed for some important OECD countries since the early 1980s: accumulation has generally been declining while profit rates have shown a tendency to rise. The author concentrates on one potential explanation of this phenomenon which is particularly relevant for the USA and relies on the hypothesis of a high propensity to consume out of capital income. The paper also gives an alternative explanation of the so-called "New Economy boom" in the USA at the end of the 1990s.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IMK Working Paper ; No. 1/2007

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Household Saving; Personal Finance
Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
Aggregate Factor Income Distribution
Subject
Investment
Profitability
Financialisation
Time Series Econometrics.

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
van Treeck, Till
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)
(where)
Düsseldorf
(when)
2007

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-20080814195
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • van Treeck, Till
  • Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)

Time of origin

  • 2007

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