Arbeitspapier

Liquidity constraints versus loss aversion in household consumption: a simple reconciliation

Various deviations from the Permanent Income consumption model with rational expectations have been discussed in the literature, including loss aversion and liquidity constraints. In the existing literature, these two types of consumption asymmetry are usually considered as mutually exclusive. Using a single data set for US personal consumption, income and wealth for the period 1953q1-2007q3, we show that evidence of either loss aversion or liquidity constraints can indeed be produced, depending on the theoretical and econometric framework applied. We then apply a synthetic asymmetric error correction model that distinguishes short-run and long-run asymmetries and helps reconcile the conflicting results from the previous literature. Our findings can also be interpreted in the context of the secular decline in the US personal savings rate before the outbreak of the financial crisis in 2007.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IMK Working Paper ; No. 13/2010

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Consumer Economics: Theory
Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Subject
Asymmetric error correction model
consumer economics
aggregate consumption and wealth
Einkommenshypothese
Liquiditätsbeschränkung
Risikoaversion
Gesamtwirtschaftlicher Konsum
Vermögen
Sparen
Schätzung
USA

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
van Treeck, Till
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)
(where)
Düsseldorf
(when)
2010

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-201101312921
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • van Treeck, Till
  • Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)

Time of origin

  • 2010

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