Arbeitspapier
Economic effects of climate change in developing countries: Economy-wide and regional analysis for Ethiopia
Quantifying the economic effects of climate change is a crucial step for planning adaptation in developing countries. This study assesses the economy-wide and regional effects of climate change induced productivity and labor supply shocks in agriculture in Ethiopia. The study shows, in worst case scenario, the effects on national GDP may add up to -8% with uneven regional effects ranging from -10% in agrarian regions (e.g. Amhara) to +2.5% in urbanized regions (e.g. Addis Ababa). Cost-free exogenous structural change scenarios in labor markets and transaction costs may offset about 20-30% of the ripple effects of climate change. Therefore, the ongoing structural transformation in the country may underpin the resilience of the economy to climate change. Nevertheless, given the role of agriculture in the current economic structure of the country and the potency of biophysical impacts of climate change, adaptation in the sector is indispensable. Otherwise, climate change may hamper economic progress of the country, and make rural livelihood unpredictable.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: CEPIE Working Paper ; No. 10/17
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Computable General Equilibrium Models
Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
Agricultural Labor Markets
Job, Occupational, and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion
Economywide Country Studies: Africa
Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth
Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
General Equilibrium and Welfare Economic Analysis of Regional Economies
- Thema
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climate change
agriculture
migration
CGE model
Ethiopia
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Yalew, Amsalu W.
Hirte, Georg
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
Tscharaktschiew, Stefan
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Technische Universität Dresden, Center of Public and International Economics (CEPIE)
- (wo)
-
Dresden
- (wann)
-
2017
- Handle
- URN
-
urn:nbn:de:bsz:14-qucosa-227554
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ
Datenpartner
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Yalew, Amsalu W.
- Hirte, Georg
- Lotze-Campen, Hermann
- Tscharaktschiew, Stefan
- Technische Universität Dresden, Center of Public and International Economics (CEPIE)
Entstanden
- 2017