Business Cycle Affiliations in the Context of European Integration

Abstract: We study affiliations for the countries of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) with Germany and the US, using various business cycle measures derived from quarterly real GDP. These measures are Hodrick-Prescott and Baxter-King filtered series and annual growth rates. By using rolling contemporaneous and maximum (over a short lead/lag interval) correlations, we document increasing correlations of EMU countries with Germany, with these typically being largest during the 1990s. We also document a strong leading role for the US in relation to these countries in the period since 1993, thereby correcting the fallacy that the European business cycle was disjoint from the US for most of the 1990s

Location
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Extent
Online-Ressource
Language
Englisch
Notes
Postprint
begutachtet (peer reviewed)
In: Applied Economics ; 39 (2006) 2 ; 199-214

Classification
Wirtschaft

Event
Veröffentlichung
(where)
Mannheim
(when)
2006
Creator

DOI
10.1080/00036840500427924
URN
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-239521
Rights
Open Access unbekannt; Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Last update
04.04.2025, 7:43 AM CEST

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Associated

Time of origin

  • 2006

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