Arbeitspapier

Class struggle and economic fluctuations: VAR analysis of the post-war U.S. economy

Building on Marx's insights in Chapter 25, Volume I of Capital, an augmented version of the cyclical profit squeeze (CPS) theory offers a plausible explanation of macroeconomic fluctuations under capitalism. The pattern of dynamic interactions that emerges from a 3-variable (profit share, unemployment rate and nonresidential fixed investment) vector autoregression estimated with quarterly data for the postwar U.S. economy is consistent with the CPS theory for the regulated (1949Q1 - 1975Q1) as well as for the neoliberal periods (starting in 1980 or in 1985). Hence, the CPS mechanism seems to be in operation even under neoliberalism.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2012-02

Classification
Wirtschaft
Current Heterodox Approaches: Socialist; Marxian; Sraffian
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Subject
cyclical profit squeeze
vector autoregression

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Basu, Deepankar
Chen, Ying
Oh, Jong-seok
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Massachusetts, Department of Economics
(where)
Amherst, MA
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Basu, Deepankar
  • Chen, Ying
  • Oh, Jong-seok
  • University of Massachusetts, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2012

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