Arbeitspapier

Systemic Crisis and Growth Revisited: Has the Global Financial Crisis Marked a New Era?

Occasional crises have been shown to be part of growth enhancing mechanism (see Rancière, Tornell and Westermann, 2008). In this paper, we document that neither the stereotypical case study of India vs. Thailand, nor the benchmark growth-regression in this earlier research support this result anymore when updating the sample by one decade that includes the Global Financial Crisis, 2007/8. We analyze the time-varying nature of this relationship in rolling regressions and an historical dataset. In the subset of countries with enforceability problems, we find that the link between occasional crisis, measured by the negative skewness of credit growth, and per-capita output growth still remains intact.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 7094

Classification
Wirtschaft
International Lending and Debt Problems
Institutions and Growth
Financial Crises
Subject
long-term growth
systemic crisis
financial liberalization

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Steinkamp, Sven
Westermann, Frank
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Steinkamp, Sven
  • Westermann, Frank
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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